Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000279 0.000310 0.000347
2025-02-16 0.000143 0.000172 0.000206 0.000248 0.000301 0.000364 0.000446
2025-02-23 0.000119 0.000151 0.000191 0.000245 0.000317 0.000410 0.000541
2025-03-02 0.000104 0.000138 0.000183 0.000247 0.000337 0.000460 0.000646
2025-03-09 0.000092 0.000127 0.000175 0.000246 0.000352 0.000504 0.000748
2025-03-16 0.000080 0.000114 0.000162 0.000236 0.000350 0.000523 0.000813
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000107 0.000157 0.000237 0.000365 0.000568 0.000926
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000105 0.000158 0.000246 0.000393 0.000636 0.001086
2025-04-06 0.000063 0.000097 0.000150 0.000241 0.000397 0.000665 0.001181
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000088 0.000139 0.000229 0.000388 0.000669 0.001232
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000085 0.000136 0.000230 0.000401 0.000716 0.001370
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000083 0.000137 0.000237 0.000425 0.000784 0.001562
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000078 0.000131 0.000232 0.000429 0.000816 0.001690
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000075 0.000129 0.000234 0.000445 0.000874 0.001885
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000071 0.000125 0.000232 0.000453 0.000919 0.002057
2025-05-25 0.000039 0.000069 0.000123 0.000234 0.000469 0.000981 0.002285
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000233 0.000480 0.001035 0.002502
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000061 0.000113 0.000223 0.000470 0.001037 0.002587
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000224 0.000484 0.001100 0.002848
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000059 0.000112 0.000233 0.000516 0.001210 0.003268
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000056 0.000108 0.000228 0.000516 0.001241 0.003460
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000051 0.000101 0.000217 0.000499 0.001226 0.003511
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000050 0.000100 0.000218 0.000513 0.001295 0.003845